Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 413:00

1 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 13:52 UTC

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Makeni All Stars Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Man Utd Zambia Academy and 0.75 for Makeni All Stars, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Man Utd Zambia Academy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Man Utd Zambia Academy win

71.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Man Utd Zambia Academy home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Man Utd Zambia Academy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 18% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Man Utd Zambia Academy and 0.75 for Makeni All Stars, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 47%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Man Utd Zambia Academy win71%
Draw18%
Makeni All Stars win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 2–012.6%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 3–09.5%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.4%

Recent form

Man Utd Zambia Academy

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Power Dynamos · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Makeni All Stars · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kansanshi Dynamos · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs NAPSA Stars · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kabwe Warriors · 2-1 (W)

Makeni All Stars

    Head-to-head

    • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · Man Utd Zambia Academy 1-0 Makeni All Stars (Super League)

    Super League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Man Utd Zambia Academy win, at 71.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

    A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.