Manchester United vs Hull City Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Manchester United and 1.14 for Hull City, a combined total of 2.62. That distribution gives Manchester United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Manchester United win

45.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Manchester United win45%

Draw26%

Hull City win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.3%
1–010.7%
2–19.1%
0–18.3%
2–08.0%

Why the model likes this

Manchester United home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hull City away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.

Recent form

Manchester United

2026-08-15T14:45:00.000Z · H vs AC Milan · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Leeds · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Madrid · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg · 5-0 (W)

Hull City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Konyaspor · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2017-02-01T20:00:00.000Z · Manchester United 0-0 Hull City (Premier League)
2017-01-26T19:45:00.000Z · Manchester United 1-2 Hull City (League Cup)
2017-01-10T20:00:00.000Z · Manchester United 2-0 Hull City (League Cup)
2016-08-27T16:30:00.000Z · Manchester United 1-0 Hull City (Premier League)
2015-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · Manchester United 0-0 Hull City (Premier League)
2014-11-29T15:00:00.000Z · Manchester United 3-0 Hull City (Premier League)
2014-05-06T18:45:00.000Z · Manchester United 3-1 Hull City (Premier League)
2013-12-26T12:45:00.000Z · Manchester United 3-2 Hull City (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.