· Analysis updated 22:38 UTC
Mangasport vs Bitam Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Mangasport and 1.08 for Bitam, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Mangasport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mangasport win
61.9% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mangasport home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bitam away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mangasport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 20% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Mangasport and 1.08 for Bitam, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 2–09.2%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.1%
Recent form
Mangasport
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs African Stars · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs African Stars · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
Bitam
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-06-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Vautour Club · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Dikaki · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mangasport win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.