Gabon · Championnat D1 · Matchweek 1714:30

4 – 3

Tuesday, 26 May 2026

· Analysis updated 23:29 UTC

Mangasport vs Oyem AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Mangasport and 0.70 for Oyem AC, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Mangasport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mangasport win

59.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Mangasport home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Oyem AC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mangasport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 25% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Mangasport and 0.70 for Oyem AC, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Mangasport win59%
Draw25%
Oyem AC win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–016.0%
  • 2–012.8%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 2–19.0%

Recent form

Mangasport

  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs African Stars · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs African Stars · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)

Oyem AC

  • 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mangasport win, at 59.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.