· Analysis updated 12:05 UTC
Mangasport vs Vautour Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Mangasport and 1.35 for Vautour Club, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Mangasport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.4% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mangasport home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mangasport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.42 goals for Mangasport and 1.35 for Vautour Club, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
Recent form
Mangasport
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs African Stars · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs African Stars · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
Vautour Club
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · Mangasport 0-1 Vautour Club (Championnat D1)
- 2026-05-05T14:30:00.000Z · Mangasport 1-0 Vautour Club (Championnat D1)
- 2025-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Mangasport 1-0 Vautour Club (Championnat D1)
- 2025-01-25T00:00:00.000Z · Mangasport 3-2 Vautour Club (Championnat D1)
- 2023-02-05T00:00:00.000Z · Mangasport 0-1 Vautour Club (Championnat D1)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.