· Analysis updated 23:26 UTC
Marconi S. U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.43 expected goals for Marconi S. U20 and 0.99 for WS Wanderers U20, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Marconi S. U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Marconi S. U20 win
69.1% probability
Expected goals
2.43 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
WS Wanderers U20 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Marconi S. U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.43 goals for Marconi S. U20 and 0.99 for WS Wanderers U20, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–07.9%
Recent form
Marconi S. U20
WS Wanderers U20
- 2026-08-30T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Blacktown City U20 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T03:00:00.000Z · A vs Wollongong Wolves U20 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs St George Saints U20 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SD Raiders U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T07:00:00.000Z · H vs UNSW U20 · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Npl Nsw U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt U20 | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd U20 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 63 |
| 3 | Marconi S. U20 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Manly Utd U20 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 52 |
| 5 | NWS Spirit U20 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 50 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U20 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 48 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves U20 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 47 |
| 8 | Sutherland Sharks U20 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 44 |
| 9 | Blacktown City U20 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | -9 | 44 |
| 10 | SD Raiders U20 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 42 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers U20 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 | Rockdale Ilinden U20 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -30 | 35 |
| 13 | St. George City U20 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | UNSW U20 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -20 | 34 |
| 15 | St George Saints U20 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -44 | 15 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic U20 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | -69 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Marconi S. U20 win, at 69.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.