Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Mardin 1969 and 1.32 for Batman Petrolspor, a combined total of 3.06. That distribution gives Mardin 1969 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Mardin 1969 win

47.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Mardin 1969 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Batman Petrolspor away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mardin 1969 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 24% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for Mardin 1969 and 1.32 for Batman Petrolspor, a combined 3.06 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Mardin 1969 win47%

Draw24%

Batman Petrolspor win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–110.8%
2–19.4%
1–08.2%
1–27.1%
2–07.1%

Recent form

Mardin 1969

2026-10-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Esenler Erokspor · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fatih Karagümrük · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bursaspor · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kayserispor · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Iğdır FK · 0-1 (L)

Batman Petrolspor

2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kayserispor · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-14T11:30:00.000Z · H vs İstanbulspor · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Iğdır FK · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bursaspor · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodrum FK · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Lig table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	12	9	1	2	15	28
2	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	17	27
3	Iğdır FK	12	8	2	2	8	26
4	Batman Petrolspor	12	7	2	3	4	23
5	Keçiörengücü	12	5	5	2	8	20
6	Muğlaspor	12	4	6	2	4	18
7	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	4	18
8	Antalyaspor	12	6	0	6	-1	18
9	Bodrum FK	12	4	5	3	4	17
10	Fatih Karagümrük	12	4	4	4	1	16
11	Sarıyer	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Bandırmaspor	12	3	5	4	7	14
13	Ümraniyespor	11	3	4	4	3	13
14	Sivasspor	12	2	7	3	-3	13
15	Esenler Erokspor	12	2	6	4	-4	12
16	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-9	11
17	Manisa F.K.	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Vanspor FK	12	3	3	6	-9	10
19	İstanbulspor	12	1	2	9	-22	5
20	Boluspor	11	0	1	10	-22	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mardin 1969 win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.