Stadium Mosque · Analysis updated 15:45 UTC
Masfut vs Dibba Al Hisn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Masfut and 1.80 for Dibba Al Hisn, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Dibba Al Hisn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dibba Al Hisn win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Masfut home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dibba Al Hisn away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Masfut
- 2026-05-29T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Urooba · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T14:10:00.000Z · H vs Al Arabi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-10T14:05:00.000Z · A vs Gulf United · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-24T13:55:00.000Z · A vs Emirates Club · 0-4 (L)
Dibba Al Hisn
- 2026-10-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-29T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Palm City · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:40:00.000Z · A vs Al Fujairah SC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:55:00.000Z · H vs Palm City · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:05:00.000Z · A vs Forte Virtus · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-19T13:50:00.000Z · Masfut 0-4 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2025-11-29T12:35:00.000Z · Masfut 0-2 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2024-04-15T13:50:00.000Z · Masfut 1-2 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2023-11-23T12:40:00.000Z · Masfut 0-3 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2023-05-14T14:10:00.000Z · Masfut 3-0 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2023-01-08T12:55:00.000Z · Masfut 2-1 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2022-01-22T13:05:00.000Z · Masfut 0-1 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2021-10-09T13:05:00.000Z · Masfut 1-2 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
- 2021-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · Masfut 0-4 Dibba Al Hisn (Presidents Cup)
- 2021-02-13T13:20:00.000Z · Masfut 0-1 Dibba Al Hisn (Division 1)
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Dibba Al-Fujairah | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Emirates Club | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | Forte Virtus | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Hamriyah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Thaid | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Urooba | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah SC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Palm City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Dibba Al Hisn | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Bataeh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gulf United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Ittifaq | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Dubai City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dibba Al Hisn win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.