Lao National Stadium KM16 · Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
Master 7 vs Viengchanh Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Master 7 and 2.59 for Viengchanh, a combined total of 3.56. That distribution gives Viengchanh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Viengchanh win
72.3% probability
Expected goals
0.97 – 2.59
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Viengchanh away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viengchanh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 12% / 16% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.97 goals for Master 7 and 2.59 for Viengchanh, a combined 3.56 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 57%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–29.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–38.3%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–17.4%
Recent form
Master 7
Viengchanh
- 2026-10-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Namtha United · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Champasak United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Savannakhet · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-03-14T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Namtha United · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-08T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Salavan United · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Lao League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezra | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 |
| 2 | Salavan United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Viengchanh | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Savannakhet | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Luangprabang FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Champasak United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Namtha United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Lao Army | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 9 | Lao Toyota | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 10 | Master 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
| 11 | Oudomxay Entremets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viengchanh win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.