Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2715:00
MB RouissetWWWLW

1 – 1

Friday, 17 April 2026

JS KabylieWDWLW

· Analysis updated 08:33 UTC

MB Rouisset vs JS Kabylie Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for MB Rouisset and 0.81 for JS Kabylie, a combined total of 1.71. That distribution gives MB Rouisset the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.91 – 0.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • MB Rouisset home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • JS Kabylie away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates MB Rouisset to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 34% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.91 goals for MB Rouisset and 0.81 for JS Kabylie, a combined 1.71 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

MB Rouisset win36%
Draw34%
JS Kabylie win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals25%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score33%

Correct score

  • 0–018.0%
  • 1–016.3%
  • 0–114.6%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 2–07.4%

Recent form

MB Rouisset

  • 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · H vs JS Saoura · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs USM Alger · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs MC Alger · 0-2 (L)

JS Kabylie

  • 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T16:45:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran5410513
2CR Belouizdad5410413
3MB Rouisset6402312
4JS Kabylie5311410
5USM Alger5311310
6MC Alger321037
7JS El Biar621317
8Olympique Akbou521207
9CS Constantine6213-17
10Ben Aknoun513106
11ES Setif512225
12Khenchela512205
13Témouchent6123-45
14ASO Chlef6033-53
15JS Saoura5023-62
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.

A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.