Ali La Pointe Stadium · Analysis updated 09:08 UTC
MC Alger vs MB Rouisset Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for MC Alger and 0.98 for MB Rouisset, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives MC Alger the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
MC Alger win
56.8% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 0.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
MC Alger home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
MB Rouisset away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates MC Alger to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for MC Alger and 0.98 for MB Rouisset, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.2%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–06.2%
Recent form
MC Alger
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T19:00:00.000Z · H vs NIGELEC · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · A vs NIGELEC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Shabab · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 2-0 (W)
MB Rouisset
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T16:45:00.000Z · H vs JS Saoura · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs USM Alger · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs MC Alger · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Oran | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | MB Rouisset | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | JS Kabylie | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | MC Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | JS El Biar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Olympique Akbou | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | CS Constantine | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Ben Aknoun | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Khenchela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Témouchent | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | ASO Chlef | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | JS Saoura | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | US Biskra | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is MC Alger win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.