· Analysis updated 14:38 UTC
MEAP Nisou vs Digenis Morphou Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for MEAP Nisou and 1.65 for Digenis Morphou, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Digenis Morphou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Digenis Morphou win
54.8% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
MEAP Nisou home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Digenis Morphou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 21% / 25% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for MEAP Nisou and 1.65 for Digenis Morphou, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.8%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–210.5%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–07.8%
Recent form
MEAP Nisou
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartakos Kitiou · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Digenis Morphou · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia 29is Maiou · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-04-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs ASIL Lysi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Doxa · 0-2 (L)
Digenis Morphou
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 0-0 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 0-3 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2024-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 1-2 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2024-04-07T13:30:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 0-2 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2024-02-11T13:00:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 1-3 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2023-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 0-0 Digenis Morphou (2. Division)
- 2022-02-05T12:30:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 2-1 Digenis Morphou (3. Division)
- 2021-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · MEAP Nisou 0-2 Digenis Morphou (3. Division)
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethnikos Achna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | ASIL Lysi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Enosis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Doxa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | PAEEK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Spartakos Kitiou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Digenis Morphou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Polemidion | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Ayia Napa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Halkanoras | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Akritas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | MEAP Nisou | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Anagennisi Deryneia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Digenis Morphou win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.