Cyprus · 2. Division · Championship Group - 1414:00

3 – 3

Friday, 24 April 2026

· Analysis updated 09:04 UTC

MEAP Nisou vs Omonia 29is Maiou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for MEAP Nisou and 1.79 for Omonia 29is Maiou, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Omonia 29is Maiou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.79

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • MEAP Nisou home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Omonia 29is Maiou away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Omonia 29is Maiou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 23% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.62 goals for MEAP Nisou and 1.79 for Omonia 29is Maiou, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

MEAP Nisou win35%
Draw23%
Omonia 29is Maiou win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.5%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.9%

Recent form

MEAP Nisou

  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartakos Kitiou · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Digenis Morphou · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia 29is Maiou · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-04-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs ASIL Lysi · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Doxa · 0-2 (L)

Omonia 29is Maiou

  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AEK Larnaca · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Karmiotissa · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Krasava Ypsonas · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs MEAP Nisou · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ethnikos Achna3300109
2ASIL Lysi321047
3Enosis321047
4Doxa321027
5PAEEK320106
6Ermis320126
7APEA312015
8Spartakos Kitiou311124
9Digenis Morphou311114
10Iraklis Yerolakkou311104
11Polemidion3102-33
12Ayia Napa3012-31
13Halkanoras3012-31
14Akritas3012-31
15MEAP Nisou3012-81
16Anagennisi Deryneia3003-60

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.