Stadion SRC Mladost · Analysis updated 14:11 UTC
Medjimurje Cakovec vs Slatina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Medjimurje Cakovec and 1.76 for Slatina, a combined total of 3.61. That distribution gives Medjimurje Cakovec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Medjimurje Cakovec home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Medjimurje Cakovec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 22% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Medjimurje Cakovec and 1.76 for Slatina, a combined 3.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Medjimurje Cakovec
- 2026-02-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Ždralovi · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-11-30T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Međimurec Pretetinec · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-22T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-11-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Domašinec · 3-0 (W)
- 2025-11-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Daruvar · 1-1 (D)
Slatina
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third NL - Sjever table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Koprivnica | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 35 |
| 2 | Graničar Đurđevac | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 34 |
| 3 | Dinamo Predavac | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Rudar Mursko Središće | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Bilogora 91 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Međimurec Pretetinec | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Polet | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Graničar Kotoriba | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Pitomača | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Slatina | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Podravina Ludbreg | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 | Medjimurje Cakovec | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 13 | Garić Garešnica | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | Daruvar | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 11 |
| 15 | Nedelišće | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -16 | 10 |
| 16 | Dinamo Domašinec | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.