· Analysis updated 02:15 UTC
Mega Sport vs El Seka El Hadid Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Mega Sport and 1.91 for El Seka El Hadid, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives El Seka El Hadid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
El Seka El Hadid win
55.3% probability
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mega Sport home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates El Seka El Hadid to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 23% / 22% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Mega Sport and 1.91 for El Seka El Hadid, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
Mega Sport
- 2026-10-22T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Tanta SC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tersana · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dayrout · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kahraba Ismailia · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ismaily SC · 2-3 (L)
El Seka El Hadid
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Itesalat | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Pharco | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kahraba Ismailia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | AL Nasr SC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Tersana | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Team | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | El Entag EL Harby | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Ismaily SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Tanta SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | El Dakhleya | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Proxy | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | La Viena FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Dayrout | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -16 | 6 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is El Seka El Hadid win, at 55.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.