· Analysis updated 10:31 UTC
Members vs Matlama Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.67 expected goals for Members and 1.67 for Matlama, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Matlama the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Matlama win
61.6% probability
Expected goals
0.67 – 1.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Members home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Matlama away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Matlama to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 15% / 24% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.67 goals for Members and 1.67 for Matlama, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.1%
- 0–213.5%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–29.0%
Recent form
Members
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Linare · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Limkokwing University · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lijabatho · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Villa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lifofane · 0-2 (L)
Matlama
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lioli · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Linare · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lijabatho · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Limkokwing University · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs LCS · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Matlama win, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.