Meppen II vs Vorsfelde Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for Meppen II and 1.16 for Vorsfelde, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Meppen II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Meppen II win

69.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.65 – 1.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Meppen II home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vorsfelde away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meppen II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 16% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.65 goals for Meppen II and 1.16 for Vorsfelde, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Meppen II win69%

Draw16%

Vorsfelde win15%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.0%
3–18.0%
2–07.7%
3–06.8%
1–16.8%

Recent form

Meppen II

2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vorsfelde · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nordhorn · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spelle-Venhaus · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Egestorf · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bersenbrück · 0-5 (L)

Vorsfelde

2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lüneburger SK Hansa · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilhelmshaven · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwarz-Weiß Rehden · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs BW Lohne · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Hildesheim · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Niedersachsen table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heeslinger SC	10	6	3	1	17	21
2	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	6	2	2	15	20
3	Wilhelmshaven	9	6	2	1	13	20
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	9	6	2	1	10	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	6	1	2	7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	5	3	1	7	18
7	BW Lohne	9	4	2	3	4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	4	1	4	2	13
9	Meppen II	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	3	2	5	-13	11
11	Verden 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	2	1	6	-15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	9	0	6	3	-3	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	1	2	7	-17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	1	0	8	-13	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Meppen II win, at 69.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.