· Analysis updated 07:46 UTC
Meppen U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Meppen U19 and 2.50 for Arminia Bielefeld U19, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Arminia Bielefeld U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Arminia Bielefeld U19 win
54.3% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meppen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Arminia Bielefeld U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Arminia Bielefeld U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 27% / 19% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Meppen U19 and 2.50 for Arminia Bielefeld U19, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.5%
- 1–16.2%
- 2–35.7%
Recent form
Meppen U19
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
Arminia Bielefeld U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Preußen Münster U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Havelse U19 · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lübeck U19 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Babelsberg U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Blumenthaler SV U19 · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Arminia Bielefeld U19 win, at 54.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.