· Analysis updated 20:45 UTC
Meppen U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Meppen U19 and 1.65 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Preußen Münster U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Preußen Münster U19 win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meppen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Preußen Münster U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 31% / 24% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.33 goals for Meppen U19 and 1.65 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–26.9%
Recent form
Meppen U19
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
Preußen Münster U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster U19 win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.