· Analysis updated 19:56 UTC
Meppen U19 vs SG Unterrath U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Meppen U19 and 1.42 for SG Unterrath U19, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Meppen U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Meppen U19 win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meppen U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meppen U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Meppen U19 and 1.42 for SG Unterrath U19, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–16.7%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–06.4%
Recent form
Meppen U19
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)
SG Unterrath U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Meppen U19 win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.