· Analysis updated 03:07 UTC
Meppen W vs Ingolstadt W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Meppen W and 1.02 for Ingolstadt W, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Meppen W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Meppen W win
48.2% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meppen W home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Meppen W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 26% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Meppen W and 1.02 for Ingolstadt W, a combined 2.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.3%
- 1–012.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–18.2%
Recent form
Meppen W
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGS Essen W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Sand W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hertha Berlin W · 0-2 (L)
Ingolstadt W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Meppen W win, at 48.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.