Iran · Persian Gulf Pro League · Matchweek 1810:30

0 – 0

Wednesday, 28 January 2026

ZOB AhanLLDLW

Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium · Analysis updated 17:45 UTC

Mes Rafsanjan vs ZOB Ahan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Mes Rafsanjan vs ZOB Ahan in the Persian Gulf Pro League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Mes Rafsanjan home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mes Rafsanjan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.18 for ZOB Ahan, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Mes Rafsanjan or ZOB Ahan yet, so these numbers are a Persian Gulf Pro League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Mes Rafsanjan win44%
Draw26%
ZOB Ahan win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Mes Rafsanjan

  • 2026-07-22T15:15:00.000Z · H vs Sanat Naft · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-02-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Esteghlal FC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-02-14T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Paykan · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-02-07T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Esteghlal Khuzestan · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-02-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Shams Azar Qazvin · 0-2 (L)

ZOB Ahan

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Persian Gulf Pro League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Persepolis FC96211420
    2Esteghlal FC9540919
    3Sepahan FC9522717
    4Tractor Sazi8521717
    5Foolad FC9441416
    6Aluminium Arak9342313
    7Gol Gohar9414213
    8Fajr Sepasi9342-213
    9Chadormalu SC9333-412
    10Kheybar Khorramabad9252111
    11Nassaji Mazandaran9243-210
    12Paykan9234-39
    13Malavan8224-48
    14Shams Azar Qazvin9144-37
    15ZOB Ahan9144-47
    16Sanat Naft9144-77
    17Esteghlal Khuzestan9135-96
    18Mes Shahr-e Babak9054-95

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.