Agrano Vachadze Stadium · Referee G. Machitidze · Analysis updated 13:00 UTC
Meshakhte vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Meshakhte and 1.95 for Dinamo Batumi, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Dinamo Batumi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dinamo Batumi win
57.1% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Meshakhte home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Batumi away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–36.4%
Recent form
Meshakhte
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gagra · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-14T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rustavi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Spaeri · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-31T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 2-0 (W)
Dinamo Batumi
- 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Noah · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dila · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Iberia 1999 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rustavi · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-21T13:00:00.000Z · Meshakhte 0-1 Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga)
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · Meshakhte 1-2 Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga)
- 2026-03-16T11:00:00.000Z · Meshakhte 0-0 Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga)
- 2024-08-14T12:30:00.000Z · Meshakhte 1-2 Dinamo Batumi (David Kipiani Cup)
- 2011-11-13T10:00:00.000Z · Meshakhte 1-3 Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga 2)
- 2011-09-09T12:00:00.000Z · Meshakhte 0-1 Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga 2)
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Dila | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | -25 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dinamo Batumi win, at 57.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.