· Analysis updated 22:19 UTC
Metalist 1925 U19 vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.78 expected goals for Metalist 1925 U19 and 3.30 for Rukh Vynnyky U19, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Rukh Vynnyky U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Rukh Vynnyky U19 win
84.8% probability
Expected goals
0.78 – 3.30
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Metalist 1925 U19 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rukh Vynnyky U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
15%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–310.1%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–48.4%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–27.2%
Recent form
Metalist 1925 U19
- 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Zhytomyr U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Metalurh U19 · 1-3 (L)
Rukh Vynnyky U19
- 2026-09-16T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Lviv U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-03T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Veres Rivne U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-05T08:30:00.000Z · Metalist 1925 U19 0-5 Rukh Vynnyky U19 (U19 League)
- 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · Metalist 1925 U19 1-3 Rukh Vynnyky U19 (U19 League)
- 2025-08-29T10:00:00.000Z · Metalist 1925 U19 4-4 Rukh Vynnyky U19 (U19 League)
- 2024-03-15T12:05:00.000Z · Metalist 1925 U19 2-1 Rukh Vynnyky U19 (U19 League)
- 2023-09-02T00:00:00.000Z · Metalist 1925 U19 1-6 Rukh Vynnyky U19 (U19 League)
U19 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rukh Vynnyky U19 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv U19 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Livyi Bereh U19 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | LNZ Cherkasy U19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Zhytomyr U19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Shakhtar Donetsk U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Oleksandria U19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne U19 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Obolon' Kyiv U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | SK Metalurh U19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Metalist 1925 U19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lviv U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Kolos Kovalivka U19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Rukh Vynnyky U19 win, at 84.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 85% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.