Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Metaloglobus and 1.13 for Dumbrăviţa, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Metaloglobus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Metaloglobus win

59.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Metaloglobus home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dumbrăviţa away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Metaloglobus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 21% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for Metaloglobus and 1.13 for Dumbrăviţa, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Metaloglobus win59%

Draw21%

Dumbrăviţa win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

2–19.9%
1–19.5%
2–08.8%
1–08.5%
3–16.8%

Recent form

Metaloglobus

2026-10-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Popești-Leordeni · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ştefăneşti · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 2-3 (L)

Dumbrăviţa

2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs CSM Reşiţa · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-06T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacau · 1-6 (L)
2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2024-11-02T09:00:00.000Z · Metaloglobus 2-0 Dumbrăviţa (Liga II)
2024-04-27T08:00:00.000Z · Metaloglobus 2-0 Dumbrăviţa (Liga II)
2023-09-30T08:00:00.000Z · Metaloglobus 1-1 Dumbrăviţa (Liga II)
2022-10-08T08:00:00.000Z · Metaloglobus 1-0 Dumbrăviţa (Liga II)

Liga II table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Politehnica Timisoara	11	8	3	0	13	27
2	Slatina	11	8	1	2	9	25
3	Chindia Targoviste	11	8	0	3	13	24
4	Popești-Leordeni	11	7	3	1	11	24
5	Cetatea Suceava	11	6	3	2	10	21
6	Metalul Buzău	11	6	3	2	6	21
7	CSM Reşiţa	11	7	0	4	3	21
8	Concordia	11	6	1	4	8	19
9	FC Bacau	11	5	3	3	12	18
10	Bihor Oradea	11	5	3	3	8	18
11	Gloria Bistriţa	11	6	0	5	1	18
12	CS Afumati	11	5	2	4	0	17
13	Metaloglobus	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	Viitorul Şelimbăr	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Unirea Slobozia	11	2	2	7	-1	8
19	CS Dinamo București	11	2	1	8	-16	7
20	CSM Satu Mare	11	0	6	5	-8	6
21	Ştefăneşti	11	2	0	9	-19	6
22	Dumbrăviţa	11	0	3	8	-16	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Metaloglobus win, at 59.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.