World · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · Quarter-finals21:30

0 – 1

Tuesday, 30 July 2024

Football Federation Training Ground · Analysis updated 17:50 UTC

Metropolitan vs Atlético Pantoja Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Metropolitan vs Atlético Pantoja in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Metropolitan home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Metropolitan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Metropolitan and 1.18 for Atlético Pantoja, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Metropolitan or Atlético Pantoja yet, so these numbers are a CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Metropolitan win44%
Draw26%
Atlético Pantoja win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Metropolitan

  • 2026-07-31T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Delfines Del Este · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Helenites · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T20:00:00.000Z · H vs North Leeward · 4-0 (W)
  • 2024-07-30T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Atlético Pantoja · 0-1 (L)
  • 2024-07-27T21:30:00.000Z · H vs SWA Sharks · 2-0 (W)

Atlético Pantoja

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Mount Pleasant Academy4310410
    2Metropolitan321057
    3Robin Hood320146
    4Slingerz320116
    5Delfines Del Este412115
    6Inter Willemstad211034
    7Helenites311124
    8Elite210103
    9St. John's2101-13
    10La Clery FL2101-13
    11North Leeward2101-23
    12Britannia101001
    13All Saints United101001
    14Baltimore101001
    15Weymouth Wales2011-11
    16Prison Service1001-10
    17Roaring Lions1001-10
    18Dublanc1001-20
    19Eagles1001-20
    20VG United1001-20
    21St. Pauls United1001-30
    22SWA Sharks1001-40

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.