· Analysis updated 02:16 UTC
Mezokovesd-zsory vs Soroksar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Mezokovesd-zsory and 1.60 for Soroksar, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Mezokovesd-zsory the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Mezokovesd-zsory win
53.0% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mezokovesd-zsory home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Soroksar away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mezokovesd-zsory to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Mezokovesd-zsory and 1.60 for Soroksar, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–26.0%
Recent form
Mezokovesd-zsory
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kecskeméti TE · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ajka · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Szeged 2011 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kazincbarcikai · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MTK Budapest · 0-2 (L)
Soroksar
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyirmot SE · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-12T17:45:00.000Z · A vs BVSC · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hévíz · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Tiszakecske FC | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Kazincbarcikai | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Gyirmot SE | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Ajka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Diosgyori VTK | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Szentlőrinc SE | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Fehérvár FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | BVSC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Karcag SE | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny FC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Csakvar | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -17 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mezokovesd-zsory win, at 53.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.