· Analysis updated 04:55 UTC
Middelfart vs SfB-Oure Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Middelfart and 1.30 for SfB-Oure, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Middelfart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Middelfart win
52.7% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Middelfart home form
5 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
SfB-Oure away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Middelfart to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Middelfart and 1.30 for SfB-Oure, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.4%
Recent form
Middelfart
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs B 93 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Naestved · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs VSK Århus · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 0-0 (D)
SfB-Oure
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringkøbing · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Silkeborg KFUM · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-03-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hedensted · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs OKS · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Middelfart win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.