· Analysis updated 00:06 UTC
Midtjylland W vs FC Copenhagen W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.08 expected goals for Midtjylland W and 1.65 for FC Copenhagen W, a combined total of 4.73. That distribution gives Midtjylland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Midtjylland W win
66.1% probability
Expected goals
3.08 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Midtjylland W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Copenhagen W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Midtjylland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 16% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.08 goals for Midtjylland W and 1.65 for FC Copenhagen W, a combined 4.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 3–25.9%
- 2–25.7%
- 4–15.5%
Recent form
Midtjylland W
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-1 (D)
FC Copenhagen W
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense Q W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 2-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 21 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -24 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Midtjylland W win, at 66.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.