· Analysis updated 08:08 UTC
Midtjylland W vs KoldingQ W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.24 expected goals for Midtjylland W and 1.28 for KoldingQ W, a combined total of 3.53. That distribution gives Midtjylland W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Midtjylland W win
59.0% probability
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Midtjylland W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KoldingQ W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Midtjylland W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.24 goals for Midtjylland W and 1.28 for KoldingQ W, a combined 3.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.5%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–07.4%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Midtjylland W
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KoldingQ W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 1-1 (D)
KoldingQ W
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs AGF W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:30:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 20 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -22 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Midtjylland W win, at 59.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.