· Analysis updated 03:00 UTC
Miedź Legnica II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Miedź Legnica II and 1.18 for Goczałkowice Zdrój, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Miedź Legnica II to Win
52.4% probability
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–26.3%
Why the model likes this
Goczałkowice Zdrój away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Miedź Legnica II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 23% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for Miedź Legnica II and 1.18 for Goczałkowice Zdrój, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Miedź Legnica II
Goczałkowice Zdrój
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ślęza Wrocław · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-11T10:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 2-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2025-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 1-3 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2025-04-05T11:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 5-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2024-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2023-03-04T12:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 0-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2022-08-06T11:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 2-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2022-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 2-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2021-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 0-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2021-05-22T11:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 3-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2020-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 3-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga - Group 3)
III Liga - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Barycz Sułów | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Stal Brzeg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 4 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Stilon Gorzów | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Carina Gubin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Sparta Katowice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | ROW Rybnik | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Ślęza Wrocław | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Miedź Legnica II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Rakow II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.