· Analysis updated 08:06 UTC
Miedź Legnica II vs Odra Bytom Odrzański Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.09 expected goals for Miedź Legnica II and 1.25 for Odra Bytom Odrzański, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Odra Bytom Odrzański the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
68.0% probability
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Miedź Legnica II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Odra Bytom Odrzański away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Odra Bytom Odrzański to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 32% / 28% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.09 goals for Miedź Legnica II and 1.25 for Odra Bytom Odrzański, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–28.2%
Recent form
Miedź Legnica II
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Nysa · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Katowice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ślęza Wrocław · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Goczałkowice Zdrój · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 4-2 (W)
Odra Bytom Odrzański
- 2026-09-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Carina Gubin · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs ROW Rybnik · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Warta Gorzów · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Miedź Legnica II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T14:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 0-1 Odra Bytom Odrzański (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2025-04-11T13:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 7-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański (III Liga - Group 3)
- 2024-09-14T10:00:00.000Z · Miedź Legnica II 1-6 Odra Bytom Odrzański (III Liga - Group 3)
III Liga - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Sparta Katowice | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Barycz Sułów | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Miedź Legnica II | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzów | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Stal Brzeg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Warta Gorzów | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Rakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Polonia Nysa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Carina Gubin | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | Ślęza Wrocław | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.