Poland · Central Youth League · Matchweek 315:00

1 – 0

Saturday, 22 August 2026

· Analysis updated 20:51 UTC

Miedź Legnica U19 vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 0.91 for Śląsk Wrocław U19, a combined total of 2.33. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Miedź Legnica U19 win

49.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Miedź Legnica U19 home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Miedź Legnica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 27% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.42 goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 0.91 for Śląsk Wrocław U19, a combined 2.33 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Match result (1X2)

Miedź Legnica U19 win49%
Draw27%
Śląsk Wrocław U19 win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 1–013.9%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–18.9%

Recent form

Miedź Legnica U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznań U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Korona Kielce U19 · 6-1 (W)

Śląsk Wrocław U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Central Youth League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Miedź Legnica U19 win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

    A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.