Poland · Central Youth League · Matchweek 114:30

2 – 3

Sunday, 9 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:35 UTC

Miedź Legnica U19 vs Wisła Kraków U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 1.32 for Wisła Kraków U19, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Miedź Legnica U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Miedź Legnica U19 win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Miedź Legnica U19 home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Wisła Kraków U19 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Miedź Legnica U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.17 goals for Miedź Legnica U19 and 1.32 for Wisła Kraków U19, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Miedź Legnica U19 win57%
Draw20%
Wisła Kraków U19 win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 1–06.6%

Recent form

Miedź Legnica U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznań U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Korona Kielce U19 · 6-1 (W)

Wisła Kraków U19

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Miedź Legnica U19 win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.