· Analysis updated 09:00 UTC
Mighty Royals vs Legon Cities Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Mighty Royals and 0.87 for Legon Cities, a combined total of 3.24. That distribution gives Mighty Royals the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mighty Royals win
70.6% probability
Expected goals
2.37 – 0.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mighty Royals home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Legon Cities away threat
Scored in 0 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mighty Royals to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.37 goals for Mighty Royals and 0.87 for Legon Cities, a combined 3.24 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.2%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–18.1%
Recent form
Mighty Royals
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KAC Soccer · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Yapei · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KAC Soccer · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Arsenal · 3-1 (W)
Legon Cities
- 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Techiman Liberty · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs VC Warriors · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dormaa · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs KAC Soccer · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Berekum Arsenal · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-22T15:00:00.000Z · Mighty Royals 3-0 Legon Cities (Division One League)
- 2026-01-10T15:00:00.000Z · Mighty Royals 1-2 Legon Cities (Division One League)
- 2025-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Mighty Royals 4-2 Legon Cities (Division One League)
- 2025-09-29T15:00:00.000Z · Mighty Royals 0-1 Legon Cities (Division One League)
Division One League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ebusua Dwarfs | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 1 | Koforidua | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 |
| 1 | Sankara Nationals | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 |
| 1 | VC Warriors | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Nations | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Allies | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Tamale | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Mighty Royals | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Pro-Sports Academy | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Hakla SC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Steadfast | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Techiman Liberty | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Ebony FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Accra Lions | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Berekum City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Yapei | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Soccer Intellectuals | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Okwawu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Wa Power | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Bectero Sasana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Nsuopun Fidelity | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | WAFA | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Kalibi SC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 5 |
| 6 | Dormaa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Elmina Sharks | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Golden Kicks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tamale City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Eleven Wonders | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Fettehman United | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | 7th Wave | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Northern City | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 8 | KAC Soccer | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Skyy | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Nania | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebiemo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Home Stars | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | PAC Academy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | True Democracy | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Rospak | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Attram de Visser | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | King Faisal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Great Olympics | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Sefwi All Stars | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Nukunu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Future Stars | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Kotoku Royals | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | New Edubiase | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Golden Warriors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mighty Royals win, at 70.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.