Mildenhall Town Football Club Stadium · Analysis updated 07:10 UTC
Mildenhall Town vs Greenwich Borough Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Mildenhall Town and 3.00 for Greenwich Borough, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Greenwich Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Greenwich Borough win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 3.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mildenhall Town home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Greenwich Borough away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Greenwich Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 17% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Mildenhall Town and 3.00 for Greenwich Borough, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–26.1%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–26.1%
- 2–36.1%
- 1–44.5%
Recent form
Mildenhall Town
- 2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Bury Town · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Walthamstow · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maldon & Tiptree · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Downham Town · 1-1 (D)
Greenwich Borough
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sittingbourne · 4-3 (W)
- 2019-08-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Canterbury City · 2-3 (L)
- 2018-11-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Truro City · 0-3 (L)
- 2018-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bishop's Stortford · 1-0 (W)
- 2018-10-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Mildenhall Town · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Greenwich Borough win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.