Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 615:00
MilevskoLLLDL

0 – 3

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:18 UTC

Milevsko vs Jiskra Domažlice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Milevsko and 0.90 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Milevsko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

72.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Milevsko home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Jiskra Domažlice II away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Milevsko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 30% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.20 goals for Milevsko and 0.90 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Milevsko win43%
Draw30%
Jiskra Domažlice II win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–014.7%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 2–08.8%

Recent form

Milevsko

  • 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 0-3 (L)

Jiskra Domažlice II

  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Petřín Plzeň118121225
2Spartak Pribram107211923
3Křimice11722823
4Hořovicko11623520
5Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
6Komárov10541719
7Spartak Soběslav10523617
8Táborsko II10442516
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov10406-612
11Rokycany10316-910
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II10208-76
14Nyrsko10118-214
15Milevsko10028-122

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 72.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.