· Analysis updated 09:11 UTC
Milevsko vs Strakonice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Milevsko and 1.85 for Strakonice, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Milevsko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.5% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Milevsko home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Milevsko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 22% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Milevsko and 1.85 for Strakonice, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–14.9%
Recent form
Milevsko
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Křimice · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-2 (D)
Strakonice
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Pribram · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyrsko · 5-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Petřín Plzeň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Komárov | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Hořovicko | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Táborsko II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.