Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 2608:30

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Saturday, 16 May 2026

· Analysis updated 15:48 UTC

Milin vs Jiskra Domažlice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Milin and 1.76 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Milin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Milin home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Jiskra Domažlice II away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Milin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 22% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.81 goals for Milin and 1.76 for Jiskra Domažlice II, a combined 3.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Milin win40%
Draw22%
Jiskra Domažlice II win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–05.1%

Recent form

Milin

  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 1-6 (L)

Jiskra Domažlice II

  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rokycany · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Petřín Plzeň118121225
2Spartak Pribram107211923
3Křimice11722823
4Hořovicko11623520
5Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
6Komárov10541719
7Spartak Soběslav10523617
8Táborsko II10442516
9Doubravka11425-114
10Slavoj Český Krumlov10406-612
11Rokycany10316-910
12Strakonice10217-147
13Jiskra Domažlice II10208-76
14Nyrsko10118-214
15Milevsko10028-122

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.