· Analysis updated 18:11 UTC
Minaur Baia Mare vs Viitorul Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.59 expected goals for Minaur Baia Mare and 1.01 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Minaur Baia Mare the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Minaur Baia Mare win
71.3% probability
Expected goals
2.59 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Minaur Baia Mare home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viitorul Cluj away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Minaur Baia Mare to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.59 goals for Minaur Baia Mare and 1.01 for Viitorul Cluj, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.9%
- 1–17.2%
Recent form
Minaur Baia Mare
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Cluj · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sănătatea Cluj · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Dej · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Academica Recea · 3-1 (W)
Viitorul Cluj
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Crişul Sântandrei · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sighetu Marmaţiei · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Tășnad · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Transilvania Sport Academy · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Minaur Baia Mare · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 8 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 23 |
| 2 | Sănătatea Cluj | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Crişul Sântandrei | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Academica Recea | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | SCM Zalău | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sânmartin | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Bihorul Beiuş | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Viitorul Cluj | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Unirea Tășnad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 9 |
| 11 | Unirea Dej | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Minaur Baia Mare win, at 71.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.