World · UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round16:00

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Tuesday, 21 July 2026

Strandvallen · Referee M. De Gabriele · Analysis updated 00:49 UTC

Mjallby AIF vs Lincoln Red Imps FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Mjallby AIF and 1.18 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Mjallby AIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Mjallby AIF or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Mjallby AIF win44%
Draw26%
Lincoln Red Imps FC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Mjallby AIF home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lincoln Red Imps FC away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mjallby AIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Mjallby AIF and 1.18 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Mjallby AIF

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sirius · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-11T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs IF Elfsborg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 0-0 (D)

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Omonia Nicosia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Omonia Nicosia · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mjallby AIF · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjallby AIF · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.