Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion · Referee A. Madley · Analysis updated 05:17 UTC
ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for ML Vitebsk and 1.67 for Borac Banja Luka, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives ML Vitebsk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
ML Vitebsk to Win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates ML Vitebsk to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 21% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.17 goals for ML Vitebsk and 1.67 for Borac Banja Luka, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 72%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
ML Vitebsk to Win is the headline pick at 49% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
ML Vitebsk
Borac Banja Luka
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.