· Analysis updated 12:53 UTC
Mladá Boleslav II vs Loko Vltavín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav II and 1.53 for Loko Vltavín, a combined total of 6.03. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladá Boleslav II win
84.2% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mladá Boleslav II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Loko Vltavín away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladá Boleslav II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 9% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Mladá Boleslav II and 1.53 for Loko Vltavín, a combined 6.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.3%
- 5–15.7%
- 3–15.6%
- 4–24.8%
- 5–24.3%
Recent form
Mladá Boleslav II
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Baník Souš · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Varnsdorf · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
Loko Vltavín
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav II win, at 84.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.