Lokotrans Arena · Analysis updated 12:01 UTC
Mladá Boleslav II vs Neratovice-Byškovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav II and 0.50 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 95%, with the draw at 3%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 95% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladá Boleslav II win
95.4% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 0.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mladá Boleslav II home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladá Boleslav II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 95%, against 95% / 3% / 1% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Mladá Boleslav II and 0.50 for Neratovice-Byškovice, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 37%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
99%
Double chance 12
97%
Double chance X2
5%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–011.5%
- 5–010.4%
- 3–010.2%
- 6–07.8%
- 2–06.8%
Recent form
Mladá Boleslav II
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Baník Souš · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Varnsdorf · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
Neratovice-Byškovice
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T08:15:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav II 1-2 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
- 2026-03-07T09:15:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav II 0-2 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
- 2025-08-09T08:15:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav II 0-2 Neratovice-Byškovice (3. liga - CFL B)
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Baník Souš | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Varnsdorf | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Teplice II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | Hradec Králové II | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav II win, at 95.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 95% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.