Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.58 for Baník Ostrava U19, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mladá Boleslav U19 win

57.8% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Mladá Boleslav U19 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Ostrava U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladá Boleslav U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 19% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.58 for Baník Ostrava U19, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Mladá Boleslav U19 win58%

Draw19%

Baník Ostrava U19 win24%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

2–18.4%
3–17.0%
1–16.7%
2–26.6%
3–25.5%

Recent form

Mladá Boleslav U19

2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)

Baník Ostrava U19

2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Opava U19	12	9	1	2	18	28
2	Hradec Králové U19	13	7	4	2	18	25
3	Baník Ostrava U19	10	8	0	2	5	24
4	Sigma Olomouc U19	11	7	1	3	10	22
5	Dukla Praha U19	12	6	3	3	7	21
6	Mladá Boleslav U19	12	6	2	4	5	20
7	Viktoria Plzeň U19	9	6	1	2	16	19
8	Sparta Praha U19	11	5	1	5	4	16
9	Teplice U19	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	České Budějovice U19	11	4	2	5	7	14
11	Zbrojovka Brno U19	12	4	2	6	-5	14
12	Slovácko U19	12	3	1	8	-12	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	2	2	8	-15	8
14	Zlín U19	11	2	2	7	-17	8
15	Slavia Praha U19	11	1	4	6	-11	7
16	Karviná U19	12	2	1	9	-24	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav U19 win, at 57.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.