Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 910:45

1 – 3

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Opava U19DWWWW

· Analysis updated 05:22 UTC

Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Opava U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 2.60 for Opava U19, a combined total of 5.20. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

59.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 2.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Mladá Boleslav U19 home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Opava U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Mladá Boleslav U19 win41%
Draw18%
Opava U19 win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals89%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams to score85%

Correct score

  • 2–26.3%
  • 2–35.5%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 1–24.8%
  • 2–14.8%

Recent form

Mladá Boleslav U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)

Opava U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 1-3 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2025-06-12T12:30:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 1-3 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2024-11-16T11:30:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 2-1 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2022-03-26T13:00:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 2-0 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2021-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 4-1 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)
  • 2020-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · Mladá Boleslav U19 1-4 Opava U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 59.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.