Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1109:00

1 – 1

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 14:55 UTC

Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.70 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined total of 4.30. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Mladá Boleslav U19 win

57.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Mladá Boleslav U19 home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha U19 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Mladá Boleslav U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 18% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.70 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined 4.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Mladá Boleslav U19 win57%
Draw18%
Slavia Praha U19 win25%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 2–17.8%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 3–25.7%

Recent form

Mladá Boleslav U19

  • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav U19 win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.