· Analysis updated 04:28 UTC
Mladá Boleslav U19 vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.82 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Viktoria Plzeň U19 win
48.6% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.82
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mladá Boleslav U19 home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Plzeň U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 23% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Mladá Boleslav U19 and 1.82 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–26.9%
Recent form
Mladá Boleslav U19
- 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)
Viktoria Plzeň U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 48.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.