Mladost Lješkopolje vs Berane Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Mladost Lješkopolje and 1.05 for Berane, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Mladost Lješkopolje win

68.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.47 – 1.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Mladost Lješkopolje home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Berane away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Mladost Lješkopolje win69%

Draw17%

Berane win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

2–19.5%
2–09.0%
3–17.8%
1–17.7%
3–07.4%

Recent form

Mladost Lješkopolje

2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)

Berane

2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 0-5 (L)
2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 1-5 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar · 0-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 3-2 Berane (Second League)
2026-05-24T15:30:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 3-1 Berane (Second League)
2026-04-04T13:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-2 Berane (Second League)
2025-12-02T12:30:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-0 Berane (Second League)
2025-09-28T17:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-1 Berane (Second League)
2024-05-25T15:30:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 4-1 Berane (Second League)
2024-04-03T12:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-0 Berane (Second League)
2023-11-28T12:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-3 Berane (Second League)
2023-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 5-1 Berane (Second League)
2023-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 2-0 Berane (Second League)

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	12	6	5	1	7	23
2	Jedinstvo	12	6	2	4	3	20
3	Zeta	12	5	4	3	3	19
4	Lovćen	12	6	1	5	1	19
5	Kom	11	5	3	3	4	18
6	Iskra	12	5	2	5	1	17
7	Grbalj	11	4	4	3	3	16
8	Rudar	12	4	4	4	0	16
9	Mogren	12	2	5	5	-1	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Mladost Lješkopolje win, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.