· Analysis updated 00:36 UTC
Mladost Lješkopolje vs Internacional Podgorica Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Mladost Lješkopolje and 1.00 for Internacional Podgorica, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Mladost Lješkopolje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladost Lješkopolje win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Mladost Lješkopolje home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Internacional Podgorica away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.5%
- 1–112.5%
- 2–09.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–08.6%
Recent form
Mladost Lješkopolje
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Grbalj · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kom · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lovćen · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Jedinstvo · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Berane · 3-2 (W)
Internacional Podgorica
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Iskra · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-24T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Grbalj · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Iskra · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Mladost Lješkopolje · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Igalo · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-16T15:30:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 5-2 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2026-03-23T13:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 4-0 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2025-11-16T13:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 1-1 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2025-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-2 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2024-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 4-1 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2024-03-06T15:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 2-1 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2023-11-01T12:30:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 0-0 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
- 2023-08-26T18:00:00.000Z · Mladost Lješkopolje 2-2 Internacional Podgorica (Second League)
Second League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladost Lješkopolje win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.